Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 36

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Stranraer		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.63
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.29	3.4	3
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.28	3.28	2.99
	2.22	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)	3.38 ↓ (3.9)	2.93 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
41.6%

Draw
27.2%

Stenhousemuir
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

23.5%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

23.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stenhousemuir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stenhousemuir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stranraer - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Budinauckas L. (G) 22. McIntosh S. 5. Ross C. 6. McQueen C. 19. Ecrepont F. 14. Hawkshaw D. 8. Gallagher G. 18. Fleming K. 16. Forrest D. 11. Dolan J. 9. Orr T.	34. Lyle C. (G) 14. Bilham K. 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. 17. Anderson M. 11. Brown A. 80. Rodden B. 8. Berry J. 16. O'Reilly E. 12. Taylor R. 9. Aitken M.
Substitutes
1. Downie A. (G) 25. Edgar R. 17. Gilmartin A. 23. Grant M. 24. Lang D. 3. Williamson C.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 7. Kirkpatrick J. 15. Stirling B. 10. Yates M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Taylor R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Dolan J. ⚽, Gallagher G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fleming K. ↓, Lang D. ↑,
52', Buchanan G. 🟨,
57', Hawkshaw D. ↓, Grant M. ↑,
61', Forrest D. 🟨,
62', Taylor R. ↓, Kirkpatrick J. ↑,
62', Rodden B. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
76', Aitken M. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Edgar R. ⚽, McIntosh S. (A),

Preview

Stenhousemuir is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League One

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1.

Stranraer is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stenhousemuir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Stranraer won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
27.04.24	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Stranraer - Dumbarton	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Spartans - Stranraer	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Clyde - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLT
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
27.04.24	Stenhousemuir - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Clyde - Stenhousemuir	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Stenhousemuir - East Fife	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Dumbarton - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
20.01.24	Stenhousemuir - Stranraer	1:0
18.11.23	Stranraer - Stenhousemuir	0:3
16.09.23	Stenhousemuir - Stranraer	5:0
29.04.23	Stranraer - Stenhousemuir	2:0
07.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Stranraer	2:1
12.11.22	Stranraer - Stenhousemuir	3:2
03.09.22	Stenhousemuir - Stranraer	3:1

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