The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stratford Town 34.4%
Draw 26.8%
Peterborough Sports 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
25.6%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
25.2%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stratford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Peterborough Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Stratford Town - Peterborough Sports Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Richens M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Flanagan R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', Richens M. 🟥,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 4th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In recent outings, Stratford has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Peterborough Sports shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Peterborough Sports may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Peterborough Sports holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Stratford has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:12 (averaging 1:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stratford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Peterborough Sports
14
6
5
3
27:23
4
23
17
Stratford
14
2
7
5
18:26
-8
13
Last Results with these Odds
Stratford Town - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 31.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Peterborough Sports - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.