Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hitchin Town		Peterborough Sports

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.40	2.00
	3.05	3.25	2.05
	3.09	3.44	2.09
	3.19	3.5	2.13	Watch
	3.05	3.40	2.06
	3.26	3.78	2.01
	3.10	3.35	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.85)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)	2.06 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
29.4%

Draw
26.4%

Peterborough Sports
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Bobjoit L. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th and 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hitchin won 2.

Hitchin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Peterborough Sports is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hitchin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Peterborough Sports holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hitchin has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:8 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hitchin against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27:23	4	23
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16:20	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Sports - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.81%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.10.26	Leamington - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
29.09.26	Hitchin Town - Leighton Town	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Bury Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW
- Peterborough Sports FC
English Southern League Central Division
03.10.26	Leighton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:4 ✺
29.09.26	Peterborough Sports - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	1:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.09.26	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Peterborough Sports - Rushall Olympic	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.04.22	Peterborough Sports - Hitchin Town	1:0
12.03.22	Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports	2:2
09.03.20	Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports	0:2
21.01.20	Peterborough Sports - Hitchin Town	0:4
English FA Cup
14.09.15	Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports	4:2 ET
12.09.15	Peterborough Sports - Hitchin Town	1:1

Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports