The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Strogino Moskva 19.8%
Draw 22.6%
Salyut Belgorod 57.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.3%
21.3%
58.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
20.5%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Salyut Belgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Strogino Moskva - Salyut Belgorod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Kutovoy M. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Komarov D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Krikunenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
56', 1 - 3, Panin Evgenievich V. ⚽,
67', Sapajev D. 🟥,
88', 1 - 4, Faskhutdinov V. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 5, Borisov D. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 6, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1.
Strogino has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Salyut shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Salyut is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Strogino has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Strogino against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).