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Current Win Probability
Oryol 40.6%
Draw 24.7%
Strogino Moskva 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
22.4%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
22.3%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Oryol - Strogino Moskva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Bekoev D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 10th).
Oryol is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Strogino has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Oryol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Oryol has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Oryol has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:4 (averaging 3.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oryol against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:0 goals (averaging 3.5:0 per game).
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