Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	07:30	SportsEngine Play


	Strogino Moskva		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.1	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
38.7%

Draw
29.8%

Zenit Penza
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Zenit Penza aligns with the current prediction.

Strogino Moskva - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Nikishov G. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Chelyshev N. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Chelyshev N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1.

Recent form of Strogino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zenit Penza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zenit Penza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Strogino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FK Strogino Moscow	29	9	4	16	35:51	-16	31
13	Penza	29	7	5	17	26:56	-30	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.09.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Strogino Moskva	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Strogino Moskva - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Strogino Moskva - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.09.26	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Zenit Penza	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Zenit Penza - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0
25.10.25	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	2:1
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.07.25	Strogino Moskva - Zenit Penza	3:0
08.09.24	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	2:0
26.05.24	Strogino Moskva - Zenit Penza	0:1
27.08.23	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	3:1

Strogino Moskva - Zenit Penza