The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Strogino Moskva 36%
Draw 26.6%
Rodina Moscow 3 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
26.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
26.4%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strogino Moskva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Strogino Moskva - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Atamanskiy I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
55', 1 - 1, Ivanov K. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Gogidze G. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Morozov N. ⚽,
75', 2 - 3, Andreev A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, Kukushbaev R. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 5, Vorobjov K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 8th).
Strogino has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rodina 3 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Strogino has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:9 (averaging 0.3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Strogino against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:6 goals.
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