Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Sturm Graz		Mattersburg

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.25	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.35
	1.73	3.74	4.23
	1.81	3.88	4.56
	1.73	3.8	4.33
	1.77	4	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.48)	3.92 ↓ (4.54)	4.34 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
54.2%

Draw
24.1%

Mattersburg
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

20.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

12.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Mattersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattersburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattersburg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattersburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sturm Graz - Mattersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian OFB Cup
08.02.20	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.20	Sturm Graz - Domžale	4:1 ✺
24.01.20	Pogoń Szczecin - Sturm Graz	2:1 ✺
21.01.20	Viitorul Constanța - Sturm Graz	0:0 ✺
18.01.20	Osnabrück - Sturm Graz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLTL
- SV Mattersburg
Club Friendly
08.02.20	Mattersburg - Artis Brno	4:1 ✺
05.02.20	Kapfenberger SV - Mattersburg	0:2 ✺
21.01.20	Mattersburg - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	9:0 ✺
17.01.20	Mattersburg - Austria Wien II	4:0 ✺
17.01.20	Mattersburg - Kaposvari Rakoczi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
21.09.19	Mattersburg - Sturm Graz	3:3
24.02.19	Mattersburg - Sturm Graz	1:1
22.09.18	Sturm Graz - Mattersburg	1:2
14.04.18	Sturm Graz - Mattersburg	3:0
03.02.18	Mattersburg - Sturm Graz	1:0
21.10.17	Sturm Graz - Mattersburg	3:2
06.08.17	Mattersburg - Sturm Graz	2:3

Upcoming Matches