Match Info

Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)

Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
World	Onefootball


	LASK Linz		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.7
	1.91	4.04	3.87
	1.92	3.86	3.68	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.7
	1.89	3.83	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.14)	3.81 ↑ (3.38)	3.81 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LASK Linz
50.5%

Draw
24.7%

Sturm Graz
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LASK Linz's performance.

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturm Graz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LASK Linz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

LASK Linz - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. LASK will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LASK: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jungwirth L. (G) 48. Cisse M. 43. Alemao 16. Andrade A. 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 4. Coulibaly I. 30. Horvath S. (C) 6. Bogarde M. 10. Kalajdzic S. 8. Usor M. 7. Adeniran S.	53. Khudyakov D. (G) 5. Vallci A. 2. Mitchell J. 30. Koller P. 43. Hodl J. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 80. Fosso R. 22. Gazibegovic J. 10. Kiteishvili O. 77. Malone M. 20. Jatta S.
Substitutes
13. Adeshina A. 2. Bello G. 52. Cheikne K. 11. Entrup M. 29. Flecker F. 44. Kacavenda L. 27. Lang C. 3. Mbuyamba X. 33. Schutzenauer T. (G)	40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 25. Hierlander S. 17. Karic E. 11. Kayombo A. 23. Malic A. 15. Mamageishvili G. 39. Weinhandl L. 9. Wilson R.
Coaches
Kuhbauer D.	Ingolitsch F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Kiteishvili O. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Hodl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Mitchell J. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
51', Vallci A. 🟨,
59', Khudyakov D. 🟨,
65', Coulibaly I. ↓, Bello G. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Kalajdzic S. ⚽, Bello G. (A),
70', Malone M. ↓, Mamageishvili G. ↑,
70', Hodl J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
80', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Karic E. ↑,
86', Usor M. ↓, Lang C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LASK won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

LASK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

LASK could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in LASK: Bello G. (Injury) Danek K. (Inactive) Smakaj A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Ankle Injury) Grgic L. (Knee Injury) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury) Rozga F. (Injury)

There are questionable in LASK: Coulibaly I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LASK won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, LASK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Sturm Graz: 7.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	LASK	7	5	1	1	19:7	12	16
4	Sturm Graz	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

LASK Linz - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LASK Linz
Austrian Bundesliga
10.04.26	Red Bull Salzburg - LASK Linz	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	LASK Linz - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Rapid Wien - LASK Linz	4:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.03.26	Ried - LASK Linz	1:2 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
13.03.26	LASK Linz - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWT
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
12.04.26	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Sturm Graz - First Vienna	1:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.03.26	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	1:3
01.08.25	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	0:2
16.03.25	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	4:2
27.10.24	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	1:2
12.05.24	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	2:2
07.04.24	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	1:0
05.11.23	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	3:1

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