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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz B 21.1%
Draw 27.1%
First Vienna 51.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
27.2%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
26.2%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz B's form might have worsened.
First Vienna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting First Vienna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for First Vienna than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for First Vienna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sturm Graz B - First Vienna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lorenz E. (G) 30. Mustafic S. 6. Haider G. (C) 37. Bendra K. 27. Pirker S. 35. Weinhandl L. 31. Pernot B. 10. Afrifa L. 21. Scharmer T. 45. Nsumbu D. 9. Jastrzembski D.
1. Unger B. (G) 25. Bauer J. 4. Szerencsi N. 22. Okungbowa O. 17. Rosenberger B. 34. Titkov D. 39. Dantas L. 14. Seo Jong-min 45. Susso B. 8. Luxbacher B. (C) 18. Zimmermann B.
Substitutes
11. Gurmann T. 29. Koita Y. 33. Lazarre W. 17. Locker J. 47. Osayantin R. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 13. Wolf J.
37. Birkhahn L. 77. Edelhofer L. 41. Giuliani C. (G) 36. Nnamdi K. 16. Schmidt P. 28. Stratznig K. 15. Zahirovic H.
Coaches
Wurm C.
Kleer J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Mustafic S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Zimmermann B. ⚽, Rosenberger B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Nsumbu D. ↓, Osayantin R. ↑,
63', Afrifa L. ↓, Gurmann T. ↑,
77', Rosenberger B. 🟨,
82', Pirker S. ↓, Lazarre W. ↑,
85', Seo Jong-min ↓, Edelhofer L. ↑,
90+2', Mustafic S. ↓, Wolf J. ↑,
90+2', Rosenberger B. ↓, Zahirovic H. ↑,
90+2', Susso B. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
90+9', 0 - 2, Schmidt P. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
First Vienna might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sturm B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).