Match Info

2. Liga - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Solarstadion Gleisdorf (Gleisdorf)

Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Sturm Graz B		Austria Wien II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.65	2.35
	2.56	3.97	2.46
	4.68	4.10	1.63	Watch
	2.59	3.72	2.44	Watch
	2.52	3.65	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.45)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
32.2%

Draw
25.3%

Austria Wien II
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz B's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austria Wien II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien II than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sturm Graz B - Austria Wien II Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sturm B will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Austria Wien II will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Austria Wien II (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sturm B (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm B (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Austria Wien II (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lorenz E. (G) 3. Borkovic A. 10. Afrifa L. 11. Gurmann T. 6. Haider G. (C) 17. Locker J. 9. Jastrzembski D. 21. Scharmer T. 47. Osayantin R. 30. Mustafic S. 22. Beck J.	1. Jusic K. (G) 5. Ndukwe I. 21. Fischer F. 26. Zdichynec N. 18. Nisandzic D. 19. Lukic F. 27. Nnodim D. 20. Morth R. 7. Schablas M. 23. Aleksa K. 16. Hosiner P. (C)
Substitutes
29. Koita Y. 33. Lazarre W. 66. Morgenstern L. 45. Nsumbu D. 27. Pirker S. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 13. Wolf J.	8. Abdi O. 13. Blazevic S. (G) 9. Deshishku H. 77. Osterreicher M. 12. Sawicki M. 28. Stoger M. 3. Toifl V.
Coaches
Wurm C.	Uhlig M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Aleksa K. ⚽, Ndukwe I. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Hosiner P. ⚽, Morth R. (A),
42', Morth R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osayantin R. ↓, Nsumbu D. ↑,
46', Scharmer T. ↓, Wolf J. ↑,
50', Mustafic S. 🟨,
63', Nisandzic D. 🟨,
64', Gurmann T. ↓, Lazarre W. ↑,
65', Morth R. ↓, Abdi O. ↑,
66', Aleksa K. ↓, Deshishku H. ↑,
68', Lazarre W. 🟨,
71', Lazarre W. 🟨,
78', Nnodim D. ↓, Osterreicher M. ↑,
78', Locker J. ↓, Morgenstern L. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Beck J. ⚽, Pirker S. (A),
90', Morgenstern L. 🟨,
90+1', Lukic F. ↓, Sawicki M. ↑,
90+1', Hosiner P. ↓, Stoger M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Sturm B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Austria Wien II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Austria Wien II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturm B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
12.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Sturm Graz B - Floridsdorfer AC	2:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
30.08.25	Sturm Graz B - Floridsdorfer AC	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Sturm Graz B - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Liefering - Sturm Graz B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT
- Austria Wien II
Austrian 2 Liga
13.09.25	Austria Wien II - First Vienna	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	SPG Wels - Austria Wien II	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Rapid Wien II - Austria Wien II	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Austria Wien II - Admira	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Wien II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
28.04.23	Austria Wien II - Sturm Graz B	0:1
03.09.22	Sturm Graz B - Austria Wien II	1:2
Club Friendly
08.07.16	Sturm Graz B - Austria Wien II	1:4

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