Match Info
NPL South Australia - Round 22Date: 15 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Karinya Reserve (Eden Hills)
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Sturt Lions |
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Campbelltown City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.10 |
3.70 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.28 |
3.50 |
2.50 |
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 |
2.03 |
3.98 |
3.05 |
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2.14 |
4.02 |
2.83 |
Watch |
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2.01 |
3.90 |
2.95 |
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2.03 |
3.74 |
2.93 |
Watch |
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2.02 |
3.65 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.28) |
3.78 ↑
(3.5) |
2.85 ↑
(2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sturt Lions
43.8% | Draw
24.2% | Campbelltown City
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Campbelltown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturt Lions that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campbelltown City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Sturt Lions - Campbelltown City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 6', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0.Sturt Lions is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Campbelltown City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Campbelltown City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL South Australian | | | 23.05.26 | Campbelltown City - Sturt Lions | 2:0 | | 13.05.23 | Campbelltown City - Sturt Lions | 3:1 | | 17.02.23 | Sturt Lions - Campbelltown City | 1:2 | | 02.07.22 | Sturt Lions - Campbelltown City | 0:1 | | 02.04.22 | Campbelltown City - Sturt Lions | 1:1 | | 07.09.21 | Campbelltown City - Sturt Lions | 0:1 | | 17.04.21 | Sturt Lions - Campbelltown City | 1:1 |
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