Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Subiza		Gernika

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.42
	4.7	3.85	1.59
	4.25	3.88	1.8
	4.67	4.1	1.59	Watch
	4.86	3.68	1.69
	4.7	3.85	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.25)	3.95 ↑ (3.1)	1.61 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
19.3%

Draw
23.4%

Gernika
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Subiza's form might have worsened.

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Subiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Subiza - Gernika Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Gernika (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gernika (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Larrauri J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Sola J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Arzalluz M. (Pen),
85', 2 - 2, Arrasate I. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Subiza is Relegated to

Subiza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gernika is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gernika is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Subiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.04.25	UD Logroñés - Subiza	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Subiza - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Zaragoza B - Subiza	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Subiza - Alfaro	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Real Sociedad C - Subiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.04.25	Gernika - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Anguiano - Gernika	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gernika - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.12.24	Gernika - Subiza	1:1

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