Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 24

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Sud América		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.73
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.74	3.37	1.76
	4.88	3.4	1.77	Watch
	3.8	3	1.95
	4.58	3.32	1.73
	4.5	3.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.89)	3.27 ↑ (3)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
20.5%

Draw
28%

Uruguay Montevideo
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

30.7%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

31%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uruguay Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Navarro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.10.24	Rentistas - Sud América	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Sud América - Cooper	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Tacuarembó - Sud América	2:2 ✺
30.09.24	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	3:3 ✺
25.09.24	Oriental de La Paz - Sud América	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTTW
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.10.24	Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
07.10.24	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	0:3 ✺
29.09.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Cooper	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.07.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	0:0
22.03.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	1:0
19.11.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	1:1
08.07.23	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1
20.03.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	0:2
07.08.22	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0
16.05.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	1:1

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