Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Atenas de San Carlos		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.78
	2.51	3.2	2.82
	2.51	3.11	2.86	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.75
	2.41	3.02	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.36)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	2.79 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
37.4%

Draw
29.8%

Uruguay Montevideo
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

32%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

33.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uruguay Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atenas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 3.

Recent form of Atenas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.6).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.03.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1
16.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2
25.05.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0
10.03.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0
12.10.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1
06.07.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
10.11.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2

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