Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.66	2.99	2.06
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.68	3.13	2.02
	3.6	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.02 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
25.6%

Draw
29.5%

Miramar Misiones
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.8%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sud América - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Sud América is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miramar Misiones is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sud América could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Miramar Misiones will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.07.23	Progreso - Sud América	0:3 ✺
08.07.23	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Tacuarembó - Sud América	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLLL
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.07.23	Miramar Misiones - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Miramar Misiones - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
18.06.23	Miramar Misiones - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.08.22	Sud América - Miramar Misiones	2:5
25.05.22	Miramar Misiones - Sud América	3:0
19.03.22	Miramar Misiones - Sud América	2:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.02.14	Miramar Misiones - Sud América	0:1
14.09.13	Sud América - Miramar Misiones	0:0

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