Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Uruguay	13:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+


	Atenas de San Carlos		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	2.32	3.2	2.65
	2.33	3.37	2.7
	2.38	3.49	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.6
	2.35	3.24	2.58
	2.32	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.89)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.75 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
39.6%

Draw
27.5%

Miramar Misiones
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atenas de San Carlos's form might have worsened.

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miramar Misiones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miramar Misiones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atenas de San Carlos - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 12th).

Atenas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Miramar Misiones has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Atenas holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atenas has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 0.8:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atenas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	24	13	5	6	35:22	13	44
12	Miramar	24	7	8	9	25:30	-5	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Plaza Colonia	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.09.26	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWT
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Miramar Misiones - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
20.11.23	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
08.07.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Miramar Misiones	0:0
05.08.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Miramar Misiones	0:1
15.05.22	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2

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