Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 23

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.35
	2.8	2.92	2.35
	3.02	3.07	2.33
	2.97	3.15	2.41	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	2.94	2.98	2.31
	2.8	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.6)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.34 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
31.3%

Draw
30.1%

Cerrito
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.8%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Miramar Misiones - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th and 7th).

Miramar Misiones has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Cerrito have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Miramar Misiones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Miramar Misiones has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 2.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Miramar Misiones against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cerrito	24	8	9	7	31:28	3	33
12	Miramar	24	7	8	9	25:30	-5	29

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.38%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Cerrito - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.10.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Miramar Misiones - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWLWW
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.10.26	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Cerrito - La Luz	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:0
04.11.23	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:6
18.06.23	Miramar Misiones - Cerrito	2:2
02.04.23	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	2:2

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