Match Info

URUGUAY: COPA URUGUAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Sud América		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	10	5	1.25
	8.58	5.13	1.24
	10.25	5.25	1.23
	9.4	5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.56 ↑ (7.68)	5.1 ↑ (4.95)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
9.5%

Draw
17.8%

Peñarol de Montevideo
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

18.4%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

17.8%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 0.

Sud América is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peñarol is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sud América could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Peñarol have a series of guest games.

In this match Peñarol is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.10.23	Sud América - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Rampla Juniors - Sud América	1:1 ✺
16.10.23	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Cerrito - Sud América	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Sud América - Potencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLT
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.10.23	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:3 ✺
18.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3 ✺
13.10.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.12.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Sud América	3:1
22.08.21	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1
08.11.17	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3
01.04.17	Peñarol de Montevideo - Sud América	4:0
29.10.16	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:4
05.03.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Sud América	1:1
13.09.15	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:4

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