Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	15:00	SportKlub 7
Mauritius	17:00	MBC 11
Saudi Arabia	16:00	Shahid
Slovenia	15:00	SportKlub 5
Usa	09:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	13:00	FIFA+


	Sudan		Mauritania

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.15	4.25
	2.02	3.23	4.16
	1.98	3.45	3.46	Watch
	2.04	3.05	4	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.5)	3.17 ↑ (2.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sudan
44.7%

Draw
30%

Mauritania
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudan's performance.

Mauritania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	16.7%	11.1%

Sudan - Mauritania Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sudan will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Mauritania will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sudan: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sudan will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Sarr A. (G)
	3. Abeid A. (C) CFR Cluj
	19. Amar S. B. Al-Ittihad
	5. Ba L. Varazdin
	21. Diallo M. CSKA 1948 Sofia
	13. El Abd N. FAR Rabat
	20. Keita I. Esperance Tunis
	7. Koita A. AEK
	10. Lekoueiry B. Lausanne
	11. Magassa M. ZED FC
	8. Mouhsine B. Douane
Substitutes
	12. Camara B. Nancy
	2. Diaw K. Al-Hilal Omdurman
	30. Diop B. (G)
	14. Imigene S. Leganes
	23. M'bareck A. S.
	17. Ngom O. Estrela da Amadora
	16. Niasse B. (G) Difaa El Jadidi
	6. Said M. Nouadhibou
	4. Saleck D. Nouadhibou
	22. Sy M. APR
	9. Tetah E. M. Douane
	15. Yade P. Sheriff Tiraspol
Coaches
	. Lopez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Khamis B. 🟨,
31', Taifour A. 🟨,
44', Magassa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diallo M. ↓, Yade P. ↑,
58', Karshom M. ↓, Hakeem M. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

Sudan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sudan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sudan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudan
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Togo - Sudan	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Senegal - Sudan	2:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
29.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	1:2 penalties ✺
26.08.25	Madagascar - Sudan	1:0 ET ✺
23.08.25	Sudan - Algeria	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW
- Mauritania
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Mauritania - South Sudan	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Mauritania - Togo	2:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
13.08.25	Mauritania - Burkina Faso	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Central Africa - Mauritania	0:1 ✺
06.08.25	Mauritania - Tanzania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Mauritania - Sudan	0:2
Africa Cup of Nations
20.06.23	Sudan - Mauritania	0:3
04.06.22	Mauritania - Sudan	3:0
African Nations Championship
17.01.18	Sudan - Mauritania	1:0

Sudan - Mauritania