Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Sukhothai		Bangkok United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.59	4.13	1.68
	4.53	4.10	1.61	Watch
	4.33	4.06	1.69	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (4.53)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
21.1%

Draw
23.2%

Bangkok United
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

22.5%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.1%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bangkok United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Sukhothai - Bangkok United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangkok United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bangkok United (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sukhothai (2.09) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Bangkok United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sukhothai (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bangkok United (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 25. Otton C. 8. Aranpiroj R. 70. Mateusinho 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S.	1. Khammai P. (G) 5. Maia P. 36. Praisuwan J. 3. Everton (C) 18. Puangchan T. 39. Anan P. 27. Pomphan W. 97. Alhaft I. 21. Arhan P. 20. Keereeleang G. 16. Al Ghassani M.
Substitutes
21. Denman A. 9. Elias 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 39. Jantrapho A. 23. Kamnet N. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 2. Logarwit S. 12. Nussbaum Y. 19. Phatthaphon P. 91. Phranmaen T. 7. Thiamrat L.	7. Adzic L. 10. Dangda T. 8. Imura W. 24. Jarunongkran W. 17. Kunori S. 14. Nakamura K. 29. Pholsongkram P. (G) 11. Poomchantuek R. 28. Promsomboon N. 6. Selanon N. 96. Thepwong B. 26. Thongsong S.
Coaches
Chalitaporn A.	Sripan T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Al Ghassani M. ↓, Dangda T. ↑,
36', Keereeleang G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Praisuwan J. ↓, Selanon N. ↑,
46', Keereeleang G. ↓, Adzic L. ↑,
57', Maia P. 🟨,
67', Mateusinho ↓, Denman A. ↑,
71', Aranpiroj R. 🟨,
77', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Thiamrat L. ↑,
77', Chatthong S. ↓, Elias ↑,
82', Anan P. ↓, Kunori S. ↑,
83', Selanon N. 🟨,
84', Thiamrat L. 🟨,
90', Arhan P. ↓, Jarunongkran W. ↑,
90+2', Otton C. 🟨,
90+4', Baggio J. ↓, Phranmaen T. ↑,
90+4', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bangkok United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bangkok United is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
23.11.25	Sukhothai - Chonburi	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLWT
- Bangkok United
AFC Champions League 2
26.11.25	Bangkok United - Selangor FA	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
22.11.25	Bangkok United - Prachuap	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Thai Port - Bangkok United	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Lion City Sailors - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
02.11.25	Bangkok United - Uthai Thani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
02.03.25	Sukhothai - Bangkok United	1:3
20.10.24	Bangkok United - Sukhothai	4:1
17.02.24	Sukhothai - Bangkok United	0:0
15.09.23	Bangkok United - Sukhothai	3:0
12.02.23	Bangkok United - Sukhothai	3:0
11.09.22	Sukhothai - Bangkok United	0:0
28.02.21	Sukhothai - Bangkok United	0:1

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