Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira)

Referee: Jalilov J. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Zira		Sumgayit

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.35	8.2
	1.4	4.2	7.46	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.44	4.41	6.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.82)	4.2 ↑ (3.18)	7.08 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zira
65%

Draw
22%

Sumgayit
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

31.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zira's performance.

Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumgayit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumgayit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Zira - Sumgayit Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sumgayit will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 14. Alicanov E. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 22. Aydin E. 30. Guima 8. Ibrahimli I. 11. Martins Junior 5. Mutsinzi A. 73. Nuriyev A. 10. Papunashvili G. 4. Ruan Renato	22. Farzullayev K. (C) 21. Ahmadzada N. 7. Ahmadzada R. 33. Beskorovaynyi D. 64. Feyziyev K. 11. Jankovic A. 29. Mustafaev E. 10. Ninkovic N. 97. Pashayev V. 95. Simon N. 23. Vasquez R.
Substitutes
19. Abdullazada R. 26. Acka S. 70. Alasgarov N. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 17. Gomis I. 93. Konate B. 6. Kuliyev E. 7. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 29. Nuriyev C. 9. Volkovi D.	8. Abdullazada S. 12. Agamaliyev M. (G) 6. Badolo C. 1. Cannatov M. (G) 24. Muradly S. 37. Orujali N. 75. Orujov N. 9. Ramalingom A. 20. Suleymanly A.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Kaplanovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Ruan Renato (Penalty Awarded),
35', 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Ramalingom A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Alicanov E. 🟨,
60', Ahmadzada R. 🟨,
66', Nuriyev A. ↓, Konate B. ↑,
66', Alicanov E. ↓, Gomis I. ↑,
66', Martins Junior ↓, Volkovi D. ↑,
79', Mustafaev E. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 1, Ruan Renato (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sumgayit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zira is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 15 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 33:5. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 1.6:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sumgayit - the odds 4.21 are the expected chance of winning is 21.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Cup
13.05.26	Sabah - Zira	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.05.26	İmişli - Zira	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Zira - Gabala	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
21.04.26	Zira - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWTT
- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.05.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	İmişli - Sumgayit	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sumgayit - Gabala	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
03.03.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.02.26	Sumgayit - Zira	2:3
Azerbaijan Cup
04.02.26	Sumgayit - Zira	0:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.10.25	Zira - Sumgayit	1:0
20.04.25	Zira - Sumgayit	3:1
15.02.25	Sumgayit - Zira	0:3
30.11.24	Zira - Sumgayit	4:1

Upcoming Matches