Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	19:00	CBC Sport


	Zira		Sumgayit

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.40	4.40
	1.68	3.35	4.3	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.86
	1.71	3.59	4.46	Watch
	1.63	3.45	4.65
	1.65	3.4	4.78	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)	4.56 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
54.2%

Draw
25.9%

Sumgayit
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

28.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Zira - Sumgayit Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bayramov A. (G) 14. Alicanov E. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 7. Aydin E. 21. Guima 11. Guseynov A. 3. Legbo D. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 2. Seydiyev A. 9. Volkovi D.	16. Johansson M. (G) 17. Ahmadzada N. 42. Badolo C. 11. Bangre M. 80. Keffel 55. Lucas Black 29. Mustafaev E. 5. Renan Santana 4. Suliman E. (C) 21. Tiago Almeida 10. Vasquez R.
Substitutes
29. Chrismael D. 20. Djibrilla I. 57. Haciyev Y. 6. Hacyly H. 33. Mchakhchekh M. 48. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 72. Quliyev H. (G) 23. Smith D. 43. Suleymanzade A.	23. Ahmadov R. 12. Arikhov A. (G) 27. Barker I. 22. Farzullayev K. (G) 3. Haqverdi H. 19. Kehat R. 37. Orucali N. 75. Orucov N. 97. Pashayev V. 20. Suleymali A.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Candido F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Ruan Renato (Penalty Awarded),
10', Alicanov E. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Guima ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Ahmadzada N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 2, Keffel ⚽,
72', Seydiyev A. ↓, Chrismael D. ↑,
72', Aydin E. ↓, Djibrilla I. ↑,
72', Alicanov E. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
72', Mustafaev E. ↓, Kehat R. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Volkovi D. ⚽,
86', Guseynov A. ↓, Mchakhchekh M. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 4.

Zira is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sumgayit has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Zira is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zira has recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:6 (averaging 1.7:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zira against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 17:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	9	4	3	2	12:12	0	15

Last Results with these Odds

Sumgayit - the odds 4.49 are the expected chance of winning is 20.05%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.10.26	Kapaz - Zira	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLTL
- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
16.10.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Sumgayit - Gabala	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
03.03.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.02.26	Sumgayit - Zira	2:3
Azerbaijan Cup
04.02.26	Sumgayit - Zira	0:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.10.25	Zira - Sumgayit	1:0
20.04.25	Zira - Sumgayit	3:1
15.02.25	Sumgayit - Zira	0:3

Zira - Sumgayit