The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sumgayit 28.6%
Draw 32.4%
Zira 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
27.9%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
27.2%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumgayit's performance.
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumgayit that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sumgayit - Zira Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Sumgayit (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cannatov M. (G) 8. Abdullazada S. (C) 33. Beskorovaynyi D. 3. Haqverdi H. 11. Jankovic A. 71. Murata M. 10. Ninkovic N. 97. Pashayev V. 9. Ramalingom A. 72. Senhadji R. 23. Vasquez R.
97. Tiago Silva (G) 19. Abdullazada R. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 17. Gomis I. 25. Henrique Gelain 8. Ibrahimli I. 11. Martins Junior 7. Muradov R. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 9. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
12. Agamaliyev M. (G) 21. Ahmadzada N. 7. Ahmadzada R. 66. Aliyev R. 22. Farzullayev K. (G) 64. Feyziyev K. 19. Kehat R. 25. Moumini A. 24. Muradly S. 37. Orujali N. 75. Orujov N.
26. Acka S. 70. Alasgarov N. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 77. Bogomolskiy E. 21. Hacyly H. 6. Kuliyev E. 28. Mickels L. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 29. Nuriyev C. 10. Papunashvili G. 43. Suleymanzade A.
Coaches
Ilic S.
Sadiqov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Volkovi D. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Ninkovic N. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Aliyev Q. ⚽,
42', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Abdullazada S. ↓, Kehat R. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Ramalingom A. ⚽,
65', Martins Junior ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
66', Abdullazada R. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
71', Murata M. 🟨,
72', Volkovi D. ↓, Mickels L. ↑,
72', Jankovic A. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
72', Muradov R. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
81', Ninkovic N. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Papunashvili G. ⚽,
90', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Acka S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Zira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Zira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 3:28. (average 0.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 0:14. (average 0:1.4).
Azerbaijan
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Cannatov M. (G) 
Beskorovaynyi D. 
Jankovic A. 
Murata M. 
Ramalingom A. 
Senhadji R. 
Vasquez R. 
Tiago Silva (G) 
Henrique Gelain 
Mutsinzi A. 
Volkovi D. 
Kehat R. 
Moumini A. 
Acka S. 
Bogomolskiy E. 
Mickels L. 
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