The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Super Nova 58.1%
Draw 24.4%
Metta 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
24.3%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
20.4%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Super Nova that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Super Nova - Metta Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Super Nova will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 95. Tihonovics M. 6. Vejkrigers D. (C) 25. Oss M. 2. Augusts K. 21. Zengis R. 97. Minins J. 19. Cudars K. 24. Sitjakovs R. 17. Sula D. 27. Glaudans A.
1. Sorokins A. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 17. Kangars A. 5. Minkevics I. 3. Lauan 7. Grabovskis K. 15. Cinajevs D. 30. Kamara S. 11. Ivulans M. 9. Saleh S.
Substitutes
4. Deklavs A. 92. Deruzinskis R. 40. Dione M. 18. Kante H. 50. Klavins K. 14. Nakamura R. 22. Skadmanis K. 88. Stepanovs V. 90. Veisbuks D. (G)
29. Bangura A. 27. Cesnieks K. 18. Evelons E. 8. Kamara M. 23. Karimu M. 10. Klavinskis R. 24. Parfjonovs N. (G) 21. Rekis K. 14. Smilskalns G.
Coaches
Perkons E.
Riherts A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Lauan 🟨,
33', Sula D. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Tihonovics M. ⚽,
62', Ivulans M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
62', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Evelons E. ⚽,
69', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
69', Zengis R. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
73', Kamara S. ↓, Karimu M. ↑,
80', Minkevics I. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
80', Grabovskis K. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
87', Augusts K. 🟨,
88', Tihonovics M. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
88', Glaudans A. ↓, Stepanovs V. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.
Super Nova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Metta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Super Nova is the team to beat.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
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Orols F. (G) 
Sula D. 
Scremin G. 
Lauan 
Kamara S. 
Saleh S. 
Dione M. 
Nakamura R. 
Karimu M. 
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