Match Info

Virsliga - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Rīgas Hanzas vidusskolas stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV
World	Onefootball


	Metta		BFC Daugavpils

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.32
	2.62	3.61	2.31
	3.12	3.71	2.05	Watch
	2.47	3.44	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.14)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metta
33.9%

Draw
25.7%

BFC Daugavpils
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFC Daugavpils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metta than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Metta - BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Metta will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metta: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Metta (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Metta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metta will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Metta (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorokins A. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 8. Kamara M. 5. Minkevics I. 19. Molotkovs A. 21. Rekis K. 27. Cesnieks K. 15. Cinajevs D. 10. Klavinskis R. 9. Saleh S.	1. Beks J. (G) 5. Kudelkins A. (C) 8. Skrebels R. 20. Taty C. 37. Mihalcovs G. 23. Promise V. 6. Barkovskis N. 25. Saidy M. 10. Fofana W. 30. Pinaskins E. 27. Lizunovs V.
Substitutes
29. Bangura A. 18. Evelons E. 13. Gulbis H. 11. Ivulans M. 30. Kamara S. 32. Plavins K. (G) 14. Smilskalns G.	66. Bujanovs K. 22. Garzha A. 24. Ivanovs E. 11. Kone M. 18. Kopilovs M. 99. Kumater S. 9. Murakami S. 58. Saveljevs J. (G)
Coaches
Riherts A.	Kurbatov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Lizunovs V. ⚽, Saidy M. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Saleh S. ⚽, Scremin G. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Kamara M. ⚽, Minkevics I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Skrebels R. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Saleh S. ⚽, Rekis K. (A),
62', Fofana W. ↓, Garzha A. ↑,
62', Promise V. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,
70', Klavinskis R. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
70', Saleh S. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
82', Pinaskins E. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
86', Rekis K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
86', Cesnieks K. ↓, Smilskalns G. ↑,
90', Barkovskis N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.

Metta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Daugavpils has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Daugavpils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:44. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Metta
Latvian Virsliga
02.11.25	Jelgava - Metta	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Metta - Auda Riga	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Metta - Riga	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	RFS - Metta	5:1 ✺
26.09.25	Metta - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLLL
- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
02.11.25	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
23.08.25	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	4:2
17.06.25	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	2:2
25.04.25	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	2:0
27.09.24	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	1:1
07.07.24	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	3:2
16.05.24	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	4:0
03.04.24	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	0:1

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