Match Info

Virsliga - Round 35

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs (Jelgava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV
World	Onefootball


	Jelgava		Metta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.15
	1.65	3.92	4.62	Watch
	1.76	4.13	3.87	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.64)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	3.86 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelgava
51.6%

Draw
24.2%

Metta
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

19.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Metta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jelgava - Metta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Metta will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dvorak A. (G) 15. Ullman O. 10. Holoubek D. 5. Alekseiciks K. 6. Penkevics K. (C) 17. Yuzvak A. 9. Becers R. 11. Hasek M. 3. Zaleiko G. 24. Hasek F. 20. Emenike K.	32. Plavins K. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 8. Kamara M. 5. Minkevics I. 19. Molotkovs A. 29. Bangura A. 27. Cesnieks K. 15. Cinajevs D. 10. Klavinskis R. 9. Saleh S.
Substitutes
25. Boroduska E. 26. Deruzinskis R. 23. Dreimanis A. 7. Janovskis A. 16. Leitis T. (G) 19. Petersons A. 22. Purs V. 18. Susts M. 13. Velika M. (G)	18. Evelons E. 13. Gulbis H. 11. Ivulans M. 30. Kamara S. 21. Rekis K. 14. Smilskalns G. 1. Sorokins A. (G)
Coaches
Basovs A.	Riherts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Emenike K. ⚽, Hasek F. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Klavinskis R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Klavinskis R. ⚽, Saleh S. (A),
55', Minkevics I. 🟨,
60', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
63', Cesnieks K. 🟨,
64', Molotkovs A. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Hasek F. ⚽,
72', Saleh S. 🟨,
75', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
78', Hasek F. 🟨,
88', Bangura A. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
90', Holoubek D. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
90', Emenike K. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2.

Jelgava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Metta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jelgava is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
25.10.25	Liepāja - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Super Nova - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Jelgava - Auda Riga	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Jelgava - Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTTL
- FK Metta
Latvian Virsliga
26.10.25	Metta - Auda Riga	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Metta - Riga	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	RFS - Metta	5:1 ✺
26.09.25	Metta - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tukums 2000 - Metta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
09.08.25	Metta - Jelgava	2:2
13.06.25	Jelgava - Metta	2:1
18.04.25	Metta - Jelgava	0:0
22.09.24	Metta - Jelgava	2:0
01.07.24	Jelgava - Metta	1:0
11.05.24	Metta - Jelgava	3:0
29.03.24	Jelgava - Metta	0:1

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