Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 15

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Sporta centrs Krasts (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Super Nova 2		Riga Mariners

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.40	1.40
	6.30	4.55	1.37
	6.20	4.67	1.36
	5.36	4.36	1.48	Watch
	6.10	4.60	1.34
	5.61	4.42	1.48
	4.19	4.07	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.24)	4.44 ↑ (4.08)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova 2
16%

Draw
20.5%

Riga Mariners
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

22.3%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova 2's form might have worsened.

Riga Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga Mariners's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga Mariners, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Super Nova 2 - Riga Mariners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bokans E. ⚽, Owusu R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 2, Grazis A. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Bekeris H. ⚽, Poluhovics A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Super Nova 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Riga Mariners is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Super Nova 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	50:23	27	47
9	Super Nova 2	21	6	7	8	28:32	-4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova 2
Latvian 1 Liga
25.07.26	JDFS Alberts - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Riga 2 - Super Nova 2	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Super Nova 2 - Tukums 2000 2	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Metta - Super Nova 2	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTWL
- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
25.07.26	Riga Mariners - JFK Ventspils	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils	3:4 penalties ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
04.07.26	JDFS Alberts - Riga Mariners	0:4 ✺
27.06.26	Riga Mariners - Mārupe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
04.04.26	Riga Mariners - Super Nova 2	1:1

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