Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Surnadal IL		Spjelkavik

	1	X	2
	3.58	5.29	1.60	Watch
	4.57	5.4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.58)	5.35 ↑ (5.29)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surnadal IL
22.5%

Draw
17.2%

Spjelkavik
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

17.3%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

16.9%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surnadal IL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Spjelkavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Surnadal IL - Spjelkavik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Dubicki F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, Viddal E. ⚽,
76', Ekornes S. 🟥,
88', 0 - 3, Larsen H. ⚽,
90+1', Kvande-Talgo H. 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 3, Talgo F. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Surnadal is Relegated to

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Spjelkavik is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.10.25	Tiller - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Surnadal IL - Kristiansund 2	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Melhus - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Surnadal IL - Nardo	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Byåsen - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 TLTWT
- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.10.25	Spjelkavik - Kristiansund 2	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Byåsen - Spjelkavik	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Spjelkavik - Volda	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Melhus - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Spjelkavik - Trygg Lade	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLT

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