Match Info

Date: 13 April 2021, Tuesday


	Sutton United		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5
	2.14	2.95	3.55
	2.13	3	3.45
	2.17	3.15	3.74
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.15	3.24	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.56 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
43.9%

Draw
29.9%

Torquay United
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

19%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutton United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sutton United - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 3 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Recent matches Sutton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torquay is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torquay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sutton have a series of guest games.

Sutton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sutton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
05.04.21	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
02.04.21	Boreham Wood - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
27.03.21	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
23.03.21	Bromley - Sutton United	1:3 ✺
20.03.21	Sutton United - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTWT
- Torquay United
English National League
10.04.21	Torquay United - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	Wrexham - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
02.04.21	Torquay United - Woking	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
23.03.21	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.01.21	Torquay United - Sutton United	0:0
07.03.20	Sutton United - Torquay United	2:0
16.11.19	Torquay United - Sutton United	1:2
20.02.18	Torquay United - Sutton United	2:3
21.11.17	Sutton United - Torquay United	0:1
25.02.17	Torquay United - Sutton United	2:3
16.08.16	Sutton United - Torquay United	2:0

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