Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)


	Wrexham		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.5	13
	1.16	7.75	12
	1.18	6.5	11
	1.15	7	13
	1.18	7.33	14.2
	1.22	5.25	11
	1.16	7.5	13.75
	1.15	6.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.41)	6.83 ↑ (4.2)	12.62 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
79.1%

Draw
13.6%

Torquay United
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

20.1%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wrexham's performance.

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wrexham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Wrexham - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Torquay will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 0.

Wrexham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torquay is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wrexham is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English National League
17.09.22	Southend United - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	4:1 ✺
03.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Wrexham	0:5 ✺
30.08.22	Wrexham - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Woking - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW
- Torquay United
English National League
17.09.22	Wealdstone - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
13.09.22	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	1:4 ✺
03.09.22	Southend United - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Torquay United - Woking	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Maidstone United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.02.22	Torquay United - Wrexham	1:0
30.10.21	Wrexham - Torquay United	1:1
05.04.21	Wrexham - Torquay United	0:1
05.12.20	Torquay United - Wrexham	3:1
29.10.19	Torquay United - Wrexham	1:0
06.01.18	Wrexham - Torquay United	4:0
09.09.17	Torquay United - Wrexham	0:0

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