Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Shay (Halifax) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Halifax Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.25	3.25	2.70
	2.32	3.35	2.75
	2.44	3.45	2.94
	2.28	3.52	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.9
	2.32	3.6	2.78
	2.34	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.31)	3.42 ↓ (3.47)	2.8 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
39.8%

Draw
27.1%

Sutton United
33.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Halifax Town - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grant T. (G) 2. Bardell M. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hugill W. 16. Hill D. 30. Johnson C. 20. Trusty T. 17. Tollitt B. 11. Douglas C. 14. Morgan-Smith A. 23. Crowe D.	1. Brits S. (G) 12. Urpens D. 5. Nightingale W. 4. Kirk A. 27. Brookes B. 19. Knight J. 8. Taylor J. (C) 7. Osadebe E. 10. Carter C. 9. Babalola T. 16. Njoku B.
Substitutes
27. Allen C. 25. Gill T. 10. Gilsenan Z. 1. Johnson S. (G) 21. Wainman T. 19. Warburton A.	26. Amartey B. 6. Bell C. 17. Byron T. 20. Francis J. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Topalloj B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Crowe D. 🟨,
33', Johnson C. 🟨,
45+6', Brookes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Crowe D. ↓, Warburton A. ↑,
50', Brookes B. ↓, Topalloj B. ↑,
55', Hill D. ↓, Gill T. ↑,
60', Njoku B. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
73', Hugill W. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
76', Knight J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
85', Trusty T. 🟨,
88', Douglas C. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Bardell M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Ogbonna D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 9th and 7th in the Promotion ~ National League PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 1.

Halifax has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sutton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Sutton has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Halifax in today's match, at odds of 2.2.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Halifax has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:13 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Halifax against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FC Halifax	15	6	3	6	26:20	6	21
12	Sutton	15	6	3	6	17:21	-4	21

Outrights of English National League for now

Sutton: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Halifax Town - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Sutton United - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League North
15.09.26	Wealdstone - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Halifax Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Halifax Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
01.09.26	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- Sutton United
English National League North
15.09.26	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Sutton United - Birmingham City U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Barrow - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.02.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2
15.11.25	Sutton United - Halifax Town	2:0
15.03.25	Sutton United - Halifax Town	0:3
10.12.24	Halifax Town - Sutton United	0:0
27.03.21	Halifax Town - Sutton United	2:2
28.11.20	Sutton United - Halifax Town	1:0
03.03.20	Halifax Town - Sutton United	1:0

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