Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.8
	4.5	3.6	1.77
	4.5	3.6	1.78
	4.62	3.72	1.82
	4.62	3.72	1.8
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.46	3.62	1.77	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (4.81)	3.62 ↓ (3.81)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
20.6%

Draw
26.1%

Stockport County
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.6%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

25.7%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Sutton United - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arnold S. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 6. John L. 4. Sowunmi O. (C) 42. Hart S. 31. Lakin C. 10. Beautyman H. 7. Coley J. 38. Sanderson O. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 9. Smith H.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 5. Byrne N. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 3. Touray I. 27. Bailey O. 10. Sarcevic A. 8. Camps C. 25. Olaofe I. 9. Madden P. (C)
Substitutes
16. Clay C. 30. Kerbey M. 27. Moore D. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 43. Tume V. 39. Williams J.	18. Croasdale R. 21. Hippolyte M. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 11. Powell N. 22. Richards R. 12. Smith J. (G) 19. Wootton K.
Coaches
Morison S.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Madden P. ⚽,
25', Olaofe I. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Madden P. ⚽, Knoyle K. (A),
33', Touray I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Lakin C. (Pen),
44', Sowunmi O. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 3, Madden P. ⚽, Knoyle K. (A),
45+5', Kizzi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lakin C. ↓, N'Guessan C. ↑,
46', Bailey O. ↓, Wootton K. ↑,
65', Sanderson O. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
66', Hart S. 🟨,
72', Madden P. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
80', 🟨,
82', Sarcevic A. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
90', Coley J. ↓, Tume V. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
01.04.24	Sutton United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Salford City - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Sutton United - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWWL
- Stockport County
English League Two
01.04.24	Stockport County - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Stockport County - Milton Keynes Dons	5:0 ✺
18.03.24	Crawley Town - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
14.03.24	Salford City - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0
07.04.23	Sutton United - Stockport County	0:1
29.10.22	Stockport County - Sutton United	3:0
English National League
20.03.21	Sutton United - Stockport County	1:1
02.02.21	Stockport County - Sutton United	0:2
18.01.20	Stockport County - Sutton United	0:0
05.10.19	Sutton United - Stockport County	0:0

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