Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gimhae Sports Complex (Gimhae)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gimhae		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.10	2.45	Watch
	2.55	3.00	2.50
	2.95	3.20	2.48
	2.96	3.05	2.62
	3.37	3.1	2.23	Watch
	2.85	2.90	2.55	Watch
	2.77	3.28	2.59	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.93)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	2.5 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
32.8%

Draw
30%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Gimhae - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Lee Jun-Sang ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Seongnam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seongnam might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimhae won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
24.07.26	Gimhae - Cheongju	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Changwon City - Gimhae	1:5 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
10.07.26	Cheonan City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gimhae - Seoul E-Land	1:3 ✺
05.06.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pocheon	2:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
05.06.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimhae	1:1

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