Match Info

K League 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Suwon World Cup Stadium (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
International	K League TV


	Suwon Bluewings		Suwon

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	2.03	3.6	3.66
	2.09	3.49	3.34	Watch
	2.01	3.5	3.6
	1.98	3.65	3.44	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.89)	3.51 ↓ (3.71)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
46.4%

Draw
26.4%

Suwon
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Suwon Bluewings - Suwon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kim J. (G) 27. Lee Geon-hee 5. Ko Jong-hyun 20. Hong Jeong-Ho (C) 92. Lee Sang-min 7. Fessin 24. Ko Seung-Beom 14. Jung Ho-yeon 58. Bruno Costa 90. Kim Gyeol 10. Reis	21. Yang Han-Been (G) 25. Jang Young-Woo 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 16. Jo Jin-Woo 22. Seo Jae-Min 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 7. Lee Jae-Won (C) 29. Choi Gi-Yun 10. Matheus Frizzo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 99. Ha Jung-woo
Substitutes
98. Dubickas E. 66. Han Hyeon-Seo 17. Kang Hyun-Muk 22. Kang Seong-Jin 99. Kim Do-yeon 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 23. Kim Min-Woo 19. Kim Seong-Ju 11. Lee Jun-Jae	3. Derlan 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 91. Kim Do-Yoon 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 19. Kim K. 20. Lee Ji-Sol 27. Lee S. 9. Matheus Babi 18. Tsukagawa K.
Coaches
Lee Jung-Hyo	Park Kun-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Fessin ⚽, Reis (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Jung Seung-Bae ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Goo Bon-Cheul ⚽, Jung Seung-Bae (A),
59', Kim Gyeol ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Ko Seung-Beom ⚽,
63', Fessin ↓, Kang Seong-Jin ↑,
63', Reis ↓, Kang Hyun-Muk ↑,
69', Ha Jung-woo ↓, Derlan ↑,
69', Jo Jin-Woo ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
71', Kang Hyun-Muk 🟨,
78', Lee Sang-min ↓, Kim Min-Woo ↑,
78', Hong Jeong-Ho ↓, Han Hyeon-Seo ↑,
81', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Lee S. ↑,
81', Jung Seung-Bae ↓, Kim Do-Yoon ↑,
88', Matheus Babi (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Kim Jeong-Hwan ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 1.

Suwon Bluewings has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Suwon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Suwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Suwon Bluewings might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon Bluewings won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	27	18	5	4	46:23	23	59
2	Suwon FC	27	15	9	3	53:30	23	54

Last Results with these Odds

Suwon Bluewings - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Suwon - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.35%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
07.08.26	Suwon Bluewings - Gimhae	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cheongju - Suwon Bluewings	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
19.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWTL
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
08.08.26	Paju Frontier - Suwon	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Daegu - Suwon	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Suwon - Seoul E-Land	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Suwon - Pyeongchang United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	3:1
South Korean K-League 1
12.11.23	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	2:3
05.08.23	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	0:2
03.06.23	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	1:2
11.03.23	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
16.10.22	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	3:0
06.08.22	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	4:2

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