Match Info

Jia League - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Suzhou Dongwu		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.12	3.2	2.42
				Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.01	2.96	2.33
	2.5	3.4	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.47)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
31.5%

Draw
29.4%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Suzhou Dongwu - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 26. Hu J. 8. Gao D. 6. Estrela 22. Andrejevic A. 31. Wang Yifan 17. Bao Shimeng 42. Arafat Ghenifa 19. Wu Junjie 10. Zhang Lingfeng (C) 29. Chen Ao	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 4. Sadauskas R. 26. He Xiaoqiang 2. Wang Wenxuan 38. Ruan Qilong 21. Song Pan 14. Huang Xiyang 30. Bai Yutao 8. Li Zhenquan 7. Xiang Yuwang (C)
Substitutes
37. Askhan (G) 13. Beshathan Zanhar 20. Fan Xulin 16. Jin Shang 18. Liang Weipeng 21. Li Xinyu (G) 27. Ma Fuyu 2. Wang Xijie 23. Wen Junjie 14. Yuan J. 11. Zhang Jingzhe 15. Zhu Yue	40. Carrillo J. 5. Huang X. 9. Leonardo 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 18. Tian Xiangyu 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai 16. Zhang Zhixiong
Coaches
Diaz S.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hu J. ⚽, Zhang Lingfeng (A),
38', Bai Yutao ↓, Tian Xiangyu ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Song Pan ↓, Zhang Zhixiong ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Zhang Zhixiong ⚽, Huang Xiyang (A),
54', Liu Mingshi ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Sadauskas R. ⚽, Huang X. (A),
59', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Liang Weipeng ↑,
59', Wu Junjie ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
68', Chen Ao ↓, Zhang Jingzhe ↑,
68', Wang Yifan ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
72', Hu J. ↓, Wen Junjie ↑,
81', He Xiaoqiang 🟨,
81', Xiang Yuwang 🟨,
84', 1 - 3, Carrillo J. ⚽, Huang Xiyang (A),
89', Huang Xiyang ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
89', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
90+10', Yao Haoyang 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
22.06.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Suzhou Dongwu	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Shanghai Port	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
21.06.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0
04.05.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0

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