Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Suzhou Dongwu		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10	5.75	1.2
	8.8	5.4	1.3
	7.83	5	1.3
	8.74	5.02	1.29	Watch
	8.5	4.8	1.3	Watch
	9.2	5.35	1.27	Watch
	8.8	5.4	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.84 ↑ (6.5)	5.25 ↑ (4.11)	1.28 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
10.4%

Draw
17.6%

Shanghai Port
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

22.5%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

21.5%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Shanghai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Port's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Port, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Suzhou Dongwu - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Ma Fuyu ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Gabrielzinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
47', 1 - 2, Matheus Jussa ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Wu Junjie ⚽,
59', 2 - 3, Gustavo ⚽,
69', 2 - 4, Kuai Jiwen ⚽,
82', 2 - 5, Gustavo ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 6, Li Shenglong ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Shanghai Port is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
16.05.25	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWT
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Shanghai Port - Shandong Taishan	1:1 ✺
09.05.25	Shanghai Port - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
19.12.22	Shanghai Port - Suzhou Dongwu	Shanghai Port awarded
21.06.17	Suzhou Dongwu - Shanghai Port	1:2 penalties

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