Match Info

League One - Round 18

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Suzhou Dongwu		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.00	2.90
	2.25	3.15	2.95
	2.27	3.36	3.06
	2.69	3.06	2.69	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.95
	2.24	3.14	2.97	Watch
	2.27	3.10	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.92 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
39.6%

Draw
29.1%

Changchun Yatai
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suzhou Dongwu's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suzhou Dongwu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suzhou Dongwu - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 36. Yuan J. 45. Mijit M. 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 42. Arafat Ghenifa 21. Song Pan 7. Farley Rosa 14. Bugiel O.	13. Dong Yifan (G) 35. Jiang Zilei 4. Wang Weipu 14. JIng Boxi 37. Zhou Dadi 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 29. Tan Long (C) 6. Li Qiang 9. Omoijuanfo O. 7. Salazar J.
Substitutes
9. Ali M. 37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 33. Liu Jiqiang 2. Song Bowei 18. Tai Jianfeng 39. Tian Jiahao 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 25. Yu Z. 24. Zhang Jiansheng	2. Chen Guoliang 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 21. He Xin 5. Ling Chuanbin 36. Lu K. 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 38. Sun Xipeng 32. Tian Ziyi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 23. Wu Yake (G)
Coaches
Yu Yuanwei	Yan Feng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Salazar J. ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
19', Gao D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Ali M. ↑,
46', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
46', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
46', Song Pan ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
46', Estrela 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Bugiel O. ⚽, Gao D. (A),
57', Yuan J. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Tan Long ⚽, Fan Chao (A),
82', Bugiel O. ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
83', Zhou Dadi ↓, Du Kaile ↑,
87', Jiang Zilei ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Estrela ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27

Last Results with these Odds

Suzhou Dongwu - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
02.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTTLT
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
02.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou	1:5 ✺
05.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0

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