The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dingnan United 35.8%
Draw 28.9%
Suzhou Dongwu 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
27.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
28.4%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dingnan United's form might have worsened.
Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Suzhou Dongwu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dingnan United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Du Jia (G) 27. Wang Sihan 34. Hao Yucheng 4. Daciel 2. Zhang Yujie 22. Gao S. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 7. Palacios M. 10. Tang Shi 18. Fan Bojian (C) 19. Han Yuchen
1. Liu Yu (G) 36. Yuan J. 45. Mijit M. 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 21. Song Pan 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 7. Farley Rosa 14. Bugiel O. 9. Ali M.
Substitutes
28. Cheng Yetong 17. Chen Po-Liang 23. Du Junpeng 21. Hu Jiajin 37. Petrov M. 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 32. Zhang Ruiqi 8. Zhang Zimin 3. Zhu Mingxin
42. Arafat Ghenifa 37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 33. Liu Jiqiang 2. Song Bowei 18. Tai Jianfeng 39. Tian Jiahao 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 19. Wu Junjie 25. Yu Z. 24. Zhang Jiansheng
Coaches
Mao Biao
Guo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Jin Qiang ⚽, Zhao S. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Tang Shi ⚽, Zhu Jiaxuan (A),
34', 2 - 1, Palacios M. ⚽, Gao S. (A),
36', Gao D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Hao Yucheng ↓, Du Junpeng ↑,
46', Bugiel O. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
46', Song Pan ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Wu Junjie ⚽, Wang B. (A),
53', Wang B. 🟨,
61', Fan Bojian ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
66', Yuan J. ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Wu Junjie ⚽,
70', 3 - 3, Petrov M. ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
70', Han Yuchen ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
71', Gao S. ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,
79', 3 - 4, Ali M. ⚽,
79', Ali M. ↓, Arafat Ghenifa ↑,
84', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Zhu Mingxin ↑,
88', Farley Rosa ↓, Liu Jiqiang ↑,
88', Daciel 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In recent matches, Dingnan United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Suzhou Dongwu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dingnan United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Dingnan United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
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Du Jia (G) 
Daciel 
Palacios M. 
Estrela (C) 
Bugiel O. 
Chen Po-Liang 
Petrov M. 
