Match Info

ASIA: AFC Challenge League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Svay Rieng Stadium (Svay Rieng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	Bayon TV


	Svay Rieng		Shan United

	1	X	2
	1.15	7	11.5
	1.2	6	13
	1.15	7.5	9.6
	1.19	7.01	9.85	Watch
	1.2	6.98	10.7	Watch
	1.2	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.31)	6.75 ↑ (5.3)	11.28 ↑ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Svay Rieng
78.1%

Draw
13.7%

Shan United
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

17.7%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

16.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Svay Rieng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Svay Rieng's performance.

Shan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shan United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Svay Rieng - Shan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Vireak D. (G) 13. Saret K. 61. Odawara T. 5. Soeuy V. (C) 30. Nhean S. 25. Chou S. 28. Fujii R. 17. Bounkong B. 21. Silveira C. 9. Gabriel Silva 97. Breno Caetano	13. Phyo K. Z. (G) 8. Win H. P. 2. Min Z. K. 15. Aung W. S. 25. Nyakwe W. 17. Hirota R. 6. Nanda K. (C) 21. Hein K. K. Z. 26. Khant M. K. 29. Ye Yint Aung 9. Efrain Rintaro
Substitutes
18. Am S. (G) 93. Bin T. 2. Kann P. 16. Kim S. 10. Kouch D. 98. Matheus Moresche 26. Min R. 6. Mizuno H. 31. Sang H. (G) 3. Sath R. 29. Soun S. 11. Taylor N.	12. Bakayoko M. 7. Ko Ko K. 24. Min Z. H. 23. Myo Ko Tun 20. Pyae Ko S. A. 1. Pyae P. T. (G) 27. Sekyi M. 4. Soe Thet Hein 33. Zaw H.
Coaches
Munoz P.	Ono H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Silveira C. (Pen),
30', Aung W. S. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Silveira C. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Saret K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
51', Hirota R. 🟨,
54', 3 - 1, Fujii R. ⚽, Breno Caetano (A),
57', Min Z. K. 🟨,
59', 4 - 1, Silveira C. (Pen),
59', Fujii R. ↓, Min R. ↑,
60', Khant M. K. ↓, Bakayoko M. ↑,
60', Win H. P. ↓, Min Z. H. ↑,
64', 5 - 1, Min Z. K. (Own goal),
68', Silveira C. ↓, Kim S. ↑,
68', Odawara T. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
68', Gabriel Silva ↓, Taylor N. ↑,
75', Nanda K. ↓, Myo Ko Tun ↑,
76', 6 - 1, Min R. ⚽, Taylor N. (A),
79', Aung W. S. ↓, Soe Thet Hein ↑,
79', Hein K. K. Z. ↓, Zaw H. ↑,
80', Bounkong B. ↓, Bin T. ↑,
88', 6 - 2, Efrain Rintaro ⚽, Bakayoko M. (A),
90+4', Soe Thet Hein 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Svay Rieng in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shan United is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Svay Rieng could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Svay Rieng is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Svay Rieng won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Including matches at home between the teams Svay Rieng won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Svay Rieng FC
Cambodian CPL
01.03.25	Angkor Tiger - Svay Rieng	2:5 ✺
Cambodian Hun Sen Cup
26.02.25	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey - Svay Rieng	0:2 ✺
Cambodian CPL
23.02.25	Svay Rieng - Boeung Ket Angkor	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Svay Rieng - Ministry of Interior	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Life FC - Svay Rieng	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Shan United
Myanmar National League
01.03.25	Shan United - Hanthawaddy United	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Shan United - Mahar United	3:0 ✺
17.02.25	Shan United - Rakhine United	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	ISPE - Shan United	0:5 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
05.02.25	Svay Rieng - Shan United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ASEAN Club Championship
05.02.25	Svay Rieng - Shan United	4:2

Svay Rieng - Shan United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide