Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 19

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Swansea University		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.75	2.7
	2.09	3.62	2.85
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.04	4	2.78
	2.06	3.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.98)	3.75 ↑ (3.55)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea University
43.8%

Draw
23.9%

Pontardawe Town
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

24.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

21.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea University, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Swansea University - Pontardawe Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Swansea University will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Pontardawe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea University: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Swansea University is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Swansea University won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
27.12.22	Pontardawe Town - Swansea University	2:3 ✺
09.12.22	Swansea University - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Cambrian United - Swansea University	2:3 ✺
19.11.22	Swansea University - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Llantwit Major - Swansea University	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWL
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
27.12.22	Pontardawe Town - Swansea University	2:3 ✺
06.12.22	Ammanford - Pontardawe Town	3:2 ✺
26.11.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontardawe Town	6:0 ✺
18.11.22	Goytre United - Pontardawe Town	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.11.22	Pontardawe Town - Pill	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.12.22	Pontardawe Town - Swansea University	2:3

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