Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 27 December 2022, Tuesday


	Pontardawe Town		Swansea University

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.45	2.6
	2.25	3.44	2.7
	2.17	3.8	2.66
	2.23	3.55	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.09)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	2.67 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontardawe Town
40.8%

Draw
25.3%

Swansea University
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

25.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

23.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Swansea University has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Pontardawe Town - Swansea University Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pontardawe will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swansea University will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Pontardawe have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
06.12.22	Ammanford - Pontardawe Town	3:2 ✺
26.11.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontardawe Town	6:0 ✺
18.11.22	Goytre United - Pontardawe Town	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.11.22	Pontardawe Town - Pill	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
05.11.22	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	3:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWT
- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
09.12.22	Swansea University - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Cambrian United - Swansea University	2:3 ✺
19.11.22	Swansea University - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Llantwit Major - Swansea University	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Swansea University - Barry Town United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLL

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