Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 2

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.4
	1.79	3.87	3.08
	1.85	4	3.38
	1.83	3.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)	3.96 ↑ (3.87)	3.28 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
49.7%

Draw
22.8%

Pontardawe Town
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

21.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Recent matches Cwmbran Celtic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontardawe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pontardawe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cwmbran Celtic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cwmbran Celtic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cwmbran Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
08.09.23	Abergavenny Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3 ✺
19.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:1 ✺
27.07.23	Goytre United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
09.09.23	Abertillery Bluebirds - Pontardawe Town	2:2 ✺
28.08.23	Pontardawe Town - Taffs Well AFC	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Trefelin - Pontardawe Town	1:5 ✺
12.08.23	Pontardawe Town - Llanelli	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Pontardawe Town - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.11.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontardawe Town	6:0
29.08.22	Pontardawe Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:4

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