Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday


	Ammanford		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	3.5
	1.8	4.05	3.26
	1.77	4.05	3.51
	1.72	4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)	4.08 ↓ (4.15)	3.46 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
51.5%

Draw
22.2%

Pontardawe Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

21.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pontardawe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ammanford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
20.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Llanelli - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLLWT
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
27.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Caerau Ely	3:6 ✺
12.01.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pontardawe Town	4:1 ✺
06.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Abergavenny Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Carmarthen Town - Pontardawe Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Pontardawe Town - Llantwit Major	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
30.09.23	Pontardawe Town - Ammanford	1:3
22.04.23	Pontardawe Town - Ammanford	2:0
06.12.22	Ammanford - Pontardawe Town	3:2

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