Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Swarovski Tirol		Admira

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.6	3.3	2.6
	2.6	3.25	2.65
	2.74	3.46	2.68
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.61	3.48	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.06)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)	2.62 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
36%

Draw
28.2%

Admira
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

20.2%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swarovski Tirol's form might have worsened.

Admira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Admira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swarovski Tirol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admira than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Admira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Swarovski Tirol - Admira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Swarovski Tirol has the most likely position - 10 (27.77%), has project points - 36, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Admira has the most likely position - 11 (35.98%), has project points - 34, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 33, very small importance 5, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swarovski Tirol won 0.

Swarovski Tirol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Admira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Swarovski Tirol won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Swarovski Tirol won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
13.03.22	LASK Linz - Swarovski Tirol	6:0 ✺
06.03.22	Hartberg - Swarovski Tirol	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	3:2 ✺
12.02.22	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLT
- FC Admira
Austrian Bundesliga
12.03.22	Admira - Ried	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Admira - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Rheindorf Altach - Admira	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Admira - LASK Linz	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	Hartberg - Admira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
23.10.21	Admira - Swarovski Tirol	0:1
24.07.21	Swarovski Tirol - Admira	1:1
27.02.21	Admira - Swarovski Tirol	1:1
22.11.20	Swarovski Tirol - Admira	3:0
04.07.20	Swarovski Tirol - Admira	0:0
13.06.20	Admira - Swarovski Tirol	0:3
01.03.20	Swarovski Tirol - Admira	1:1

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