Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tivoli Stadion Tirol (Innsbruck)

Referee: Jager F. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
World	Onefootball


	Swarovski Tirol		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.08
	3.54	3.5	2.16
	4.34	3.94	1.74	Watch
	3.44	3.35	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.34)	3.49 ↓ (3.94)	2.02 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
26.1%

Draw
27.2%

Rapid Wien
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rapid Wien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swarovski Tirol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapid Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	5.3%	92.1%

Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Rapid (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rapid Wien will win (70 of 76 users predict this - 92.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.05% – 98.17%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rapid Wien will win (40 of 43 users predict this - 93.02%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 1 - 2.3%). Rapid (votes: 41 - 93.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Stejskal A. (G) 23. Boras M. 5. Lawrence J. 14. Kubatta D. 17. Naschberger J. 4. Muller V. (C) 30. Taferner M. 20. Bockle B. 8. Baden Frederiksen N. 37. Wels M. 10. Sabitzer T.	25. Gartler P. (G) 55. Cvetkovic N. 20. Ahoussou A. 6. Raux Yao S. 77. Bolla B. 15. Wurmbrand N. 18. Seidl M. (C) 29. Amane R. 38. Horn J. 17. Gulliksen T. 90. Antiste J.
Substitutes
11. Anselm T. 15. Bambara M. 13. Eckmayr A. (G) 28. Geris T. 3. Gugganig D. 19. Huetz C. 27. Jaunegg D. 9. Ola-Adebomi A. 21. Votter Y.	23. Auer J. 61. Demir F. 8. Grgic L. 1. Hedl N. (G) 9. Kara E. 14. Ndzie M. 49. Radulovic A. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M.
Coaches
Semlic P.	Stoger P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽, Sabitzer T. (A),
16', Wels M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Ola-Adebomi A. ↑,
61', Ahoussou A. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
61', Gulliksen T. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
68', Gartler P. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Kara E. ⚽, Wurmbrand N. (A),
79', Sabitzer T. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
80', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Radulovic A. ↑,
80', Ola-Adebomi A. 🟨,
87', Horn J. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
87', Wels M. ↓, Votter Y. ↑,
87', Seidl M. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
90+3', Semlic P. 🟨,
90+3', Naschberger J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 0.

Swarovski Tirol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rapid has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swarovski Tirol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rapid is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q. (Inactive) Sulzbacher L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Dahl P. (Muscle Injury) M'Buyi C. (Muscle Injury) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Scholler J. M. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Swarovski Tirol: Wels M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:43. (average 0.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.7:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rapid Wien - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	3:1 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
25.10.25	Swarovski Tirol - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLL
- Rapid Wien
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Rapid Wien - Universitatea Craiova	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	St. Pölten - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.25	Ried - Rapid Wien	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Rapid Wien - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
14.09.25	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	4:1
23.11.24	Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien	0:0
18.08.24	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	2:0
05.12.23	Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien	1:2
27.08.23	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	1:1
12.03.23	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	2:0
Austrian OFB Cup
18.10.22	Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien	1:4

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