Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tivoli Stadion Tirol (Innsbruck) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Macanovic S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	17:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Czech Republic	17:00	Oneplay
Germany	17:00	Sky Go Germany, WOW
Turkey	18:00	Sifir
International	15:00	OneFootball TV


	Swarovski Tirol		Grazer AK

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.60	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.10
	2.32	3.40	2.88
	2.28	3.53	3.32
	2.28	3.48	3.06	Watch
	2.20	3.45	3.25
	2.21	3.38	3.11	Watch
	2.15	3.50	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.67)	3.47 ↓ (3.48)	3.13 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
42.6%

Draw
27.2%

Grazer AK
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swarovski Tirol's performance.

Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grazer AK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swarovski Tirol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grazer AK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hamzic S. (G) 23. Boras M. (C) 14. Kubatta D. 3. Gugganig D. 28. Oswald M. 30. Taferner M. 6. Striednig M. 36. Goiginger T. 37. Wels M. 11. Satin M. 18. Balic H.	23. Stankovic C. (G) 3. Vraa L. 21. Sollbauer M. 27. Oberleitner Y. 24. Cvetko C. 28. Anderson 14. Italiano J. 34. Michorl P. (C) 32. Klassen L. 11. Grosse M. 25. Hofleitner A.
Substitutes
8. Baden Frederiksen N. 43. Celic N. 13. Eckmayr A. (G) 32. Gschosser R. 16. Hinterseer L. 27. Jaunegg D. 5. Murray D. 17. Olakigbe M. 10. Sabitzer T.	48. Gragger M. 8. Koch T. 10. Lichtenberger C. 9. Maderner D. 17. Mandey S. 72. Markovic P. 26. Nicht C. (G) 7. Smits A. 37. Trummer T.
Coaches
Semlic P.	Scheiblehner G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Hofleitner A. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Anderson ↓, Trummer T. ↑,
44', Italiano J. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
45+4', Trummer T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gugganig D. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
59', Balic H. ↓, Baden Frederiksen N. ↑,
59', Wels M. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
59', Goiginger T. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽,
67', Klassen L. 🟨,
77', Grosse M. ↓, Mandey S. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 9th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Grazer: Guerti I. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Swarovski Tirol has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Swarovski Tirol against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tirol	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12
8	Grazer AK	11	2	4	5	8:27	-19	10

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Grazer AK: 0.33% Tirol: 0.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Swarovski Tirol - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Grazer AK - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
18.10.26	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Swarovski Tirol - Ried	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Jahn Regensburg - Swarovski Tirol	0:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
18.09.26	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Swarovski Tirol - Hartberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLT
- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
18.10.26	Sturm Graz - Grazer AK	6:1 ✺
10.10.26	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.09.26	Kalsdorf - Grazer AK	1:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.09.26	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Rheindorf Altach - Grazer AK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
02.05.26	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	4:0
21.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	1:5
08.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	2:0
16.08.25	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	1:1
23.05.25	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	1:1
29.03.25	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	0:0
09.11.24	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	2:1

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