What is the expert prediction for Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tivoli Stadion Tirol (Innsbruck)

Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany
World	Onefootball


	Swarovski Tirol		Grazer AK

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.85
	2.52	2.98	2.98
	2.39	3.3	3.08
	2.53	3.13	2.97	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.9
	2.5	3.06	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
38.2%

Draw
30.5%

Grazer AK
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swarovski Tirol: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Swarovski Tirol (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swarovski Tirol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Stejskal A. (G) 23. Boras M. 5. Lawrence J. 14. Kubatta D. 6. Sulzbacher L. 4. Muller V. (C) 17. Naschberger J. 20. Bockle B. 8. Baden Frederiksen N. 37. Wels M. 9. Ola-Adebomi A.	12. Stolz F. (G) 82. Owusu B. 2. Pines D. 3. Vraa-Jensen L. 14. Italiano J. 20. Schriebl T. (C) 6. Olesen M. 10. Lichtenberger C. 32. Klassen L. 25. Hofleitner A. 22. Harakate R.
Substitutes
13. Eckmayr A. (G) 22. Falkner D. 28. Geris T. 16. Hinterseer L. 19. Huetz C. 27. Jaunegg D. 10. Sabitzer T. 18. Schweighofer L. 21. Votter Y.	98. Ehmann F. (G) 28. Frieser D. 15. Graf L. 11. Grosse M. 8. Koch T. 9. Maderner D. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 24. Paumgartner T. 7. Satin M.
Coaches
Semlic P.	Feldhofer F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽, Wels M. (A),
21', Lichtenberger C. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Italiano J. ⚽,
26', Kubatta D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Harakate R. ⚽, Vraa-Jensen L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 1 - 3, Harakate R. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
59', Sulzbacher L. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
65', 1 - 4, Italiano J. ⚽,
67', Kubatta D. ↓, Jaunegg D. ↑,
68', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Huetz C. ↑,
73', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
74', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Koch T. ↑,
80', Harakate R. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
85', 1 - 5, Italiano J. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Schriebl T. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
87', Italiano J. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
88', Pines D. 🟨,
90', Maderner D. 🟨,
90+3', Huetz C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 1.

Swarovski Tirol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Grazer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q. (Knee Injury) Gugganig D. (Inactive) Taferner M. (Injury)

There will not play in Grazer: Jano Z. (Injury) Koch T. (Inactive) Oberleitner Y. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
14.03.26	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
22.02.26	Swarovski Tirol - Ried	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWTW
- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
14.03.26	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Grazer AK - Ried	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Hartberg - Grazer AK	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
08.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	2:0
16.08.25	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	1:1
23.05.25	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	1:1
29.03.25	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	0:0
09.11.24	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	2:1
10.08.24	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	0:0
Austrian OFB Cup
22.09.21	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	2:4

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