Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Swit Skolwin		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9.25
				Watch
	1.27	4.91	8.58
	1.28	4.91	8.58
	1.26	4.9	10	Watch
	1.25	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	4.99 ↑ (4.75)	9.08 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swit Skolwin
71.9%

Draw
18.2%

Flota Świnoujście
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

17.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swit Skolwin's performance.

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flota Świnoujście might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flota Świnoujście could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Swit Skolwin - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Remisz R. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Kapelusz S. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Gozdzik G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 4 - 0, Kasprzak M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 14).

Swit Skolwin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Flota is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Swit Skolwin is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Swit Skolwin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.24	Unia Solec Kujawski - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Swit Skolwin - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Luzino - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Swit Skolwin - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
01.03.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Vineta Wolin - Flota Świnoujście	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Stolem Gniewino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.09.23	Flota Świnoujście - Swit Skolwin	1:3
18.10.20	Swit Skolwin - Flota Świnoujście	2:0

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