Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Flota Świnoujście		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.65	1.85
	3.56	3.65	1.84	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
26.2%

Draw
24.8%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

24.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Zawisza (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zawisza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Paczuk P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Zawisza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zawisza has had a series of home games.

Zawisza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flota won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5:0 ✺
12.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:3
05.10.24	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:3
16.03.24	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3
23.08.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	2:0
Polish Division 1
01.06.13	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	2:2

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