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Current Win Probability
Sydney 38.6%
Draw 26.3%
Melbourne City 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
26.9%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
26.9%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
11.8%
23.5%
Sydney - Melbourne City Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 42% – 87.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Sydney (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 23. Grant R. (C) 41. Popovic A. 32. Tisserand M. 17. Garuccio B. 20. Quintal T. 24. Okon-Engstler P. 7. Quispe Cordova P. A. 9. Campuzano V. 80. Stamatelopoulos A. 70. Arslan A.
1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 47. Rahmani K. 30. Kuen A. 8. Teague R. 28. Younis M. 17. Caputo M. 14. Arzani D.
Substitutes
5. Grant A. 1. Hoefsloot G. (G) 16. King J. 22. Macallister M. 35. Toure A. 11. Walatee A. 36. Youlley R.
2. Delbridge H. 39. Durakovic E. 35. Memeti M. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 11. Rashani E. 19. Schreiber Z. 36. Shillington H.
Coaches
Talay U.
Vidmar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Campuzano V. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
62', Kuen A. 🟨,
63', Tisserand M. ↓, Grant A. ↑,
63', Quintal T. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
63', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Macallister M. ↑,
63', Arzani D. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
69', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
69', Rahmani K. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
69', Kuen A. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
76', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
86', Younis M. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
86', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0.
Sydney has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Melbourne City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Wrist Injury)
Lolley J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).