The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wellington Phoenix 25.9%
Draw 24.2%
Sydney 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
25.6%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
24.7%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington Phoenix's form might have worsened.
Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
0%
88.9%
Wellington Phoenix - Sydney Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Sydney will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 68.4% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sydney will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 27. Sheridan M. 28. Tuiloma B. 4. James M. 15. Hughes I. 11. Armiento C. 8. Retre P. 14. Rufer A. (C) 25. Nagasawa K. 20. Najjarine R. 3. Piper C.
12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 23. Grant R. (C) 41. Popovic A. 5. Grant A. 17. Garuccio B. 24. Okon-Engstler P. 10. Lolley J. 20. Quintal T. 70. Arslan A. 7. Quispe Cordova P. A. 80. Stamatelopoulos A.
Substitutes
29. Brooke-Smith L. 12. Edwards D. 16. Kartum S. 30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 18. Kelly-Heald L. 24. Loke T. 10. Mileusnic N.
9. Campuzano V. 22. Macallister M. 32. Tisserand M. 35. Toure A. 11. Walatee A. 36. Youlley R. 30. Zaverdinos A. (G)
Coaches
Greenacre C.
Talay U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Najjarine R. 🟨,
41', Rufer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Popovic A. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
59', Lolley J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
60', Hughes I. 🟨,
62', Quintal T. 🟨,
64', Nagasawa K. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
77', Quintal T. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
81', Piper C. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
81', James M. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
87', Popovic A. ↓, Tisserand M. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
Wellington has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Sydney has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
Sydney will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Wellington: Eze I.
(Yellow Cards)
McCarron E.
(Inactive)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Wrist Injury)
There are questionable in Sydney: Stamatelopoulos A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
Outrights of Australian A-League for now
Sydney FC: 12.8% Wellington Phoenix: 4.32%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Sydney FC
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
0
7
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
0
Last Results with these Odds
Sydney - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Australia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
Mongolia
New-zealand
Philippines
South-korea
Thailand
United-kingdom
Usa
Vietnam
Watch
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Oluwayemi J. (G) 
Sheridan M. 
James M. 
Armiento C. 
Nagasawa K. 
Najjarine R. 
Lolley J. 
Arslan A. 
Quispe Cordova P. A. 
Kartum S. 
Campuzano V. 
Tisserand M. 
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